Is Putin About to Be Overthrown? The Truth About a Russian Coup in 2025

Is a Russian coup actually coming… or is the internet just addicted to wishful thinking? In today’s Snapshot Report, I break down how likely a coup against Vladimir Putin really is in 2025 using real-world data from the last 12 months, the fallout from the Wagner Group mutiny, and the Kremlin’s own behavior.

Are we still talking about strong man dominant phase in Russian politics, or are there multiple factions warring for dominance from within? I’ll discuss these questions and more, and get into what a real Russian coup MIGHT look like, in the video below:

🔍 In this Snapshot Report, I cover:

 • What a real coup in Russia would look like (elites vs. protests, not Hollywood drama)

 • How the Wagner mutiny changed the baseline for coup risk

 • Why recent purges, reshuffles, and corruption cases signal tension inside the Russian elite

 • How the FSB, security services, and private military groups factor into coup scenarios

 • Why the current Ukraine war trajectory actually reduces near-term coup odds

 • The difference between long-term instability and an imminent regime collapse

 • The key tripwires to watch: battlefield disasters, elite splits, regional unrest, and defections

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